結論與建議
區塊鏈的出現,實際上是民間對于
金融危機提出的一種解決方案。本文從經濟角度分析了
區塊鏈技術與金融業互為補充的邏輯。首先,分析了金融和區塊鏈的本質特征,在此基礎上,指出了二者自身固有的缺陷及其互補性:金融存在信息不對稱、貧富差距以及投資者的非理性等問題,而區塊鏈的技術特征對于解決金融體系固有的缺陷非常具有針對性;而區塊鏈本身在實踐上則難以形成有效的經濟激勵和價值流通,由投資狂熱帶來的資產泡沫已說明了這一問題,區塊鏈的發展同樣離不開傳統金融體系的支持和規范。基于實體底層資產的STO、主流數字資產的衍生品市場、區塊鏈企業對于上市公司的收購,以及穩定幣顯著的避風港效應,都顯示了這一趨勢的必然性。目前,
加密貨幣只有2000億美元左右的市值,相對于全球房地產市場超過200萬億美元的市值、全球股市超過70萬億美元的市值以及全球金融衍生品市場超過500萬億美元的市值不可謂不小,發展空間不可謂不大。在未來相當長的一段時間內,區塊鏈在價值端和傳統金融融合是大勢所趨。只有這么做,區塊鏈才會有更加廣闊的發展空間和更加美好的發展前景。
參考文獻
1.白欽先,再論以金融資源論為基礎的金融可持續發展理論——范式轉換、理論創新和方法變革,國際金融研究,2000年第2期,7-13。
2.郭朋和吳燁,我國核心通貨膨脹率決定因素:基于面板數據的實證研究,國際金融研究,2011年第9期,43-51。
3.江春,論金融的實質及制度前提,經濟研究,1999年第7期,33-39。
4.孔丹鳳和張成祥,中國通貨膨脹持續性研究:1994—2011——基于總體CPI及及其八大類構成成分視角的實證檢驗,金融研究,2012年第10期,46-60。
5.冉光和,金融產業可持續發展理論研究,商務印書館出版,2004。
6. 劉瑜恒和周沙騎,證券區塊鏈的應用探索、問題挑戰與監管對策,金融監管研究,2017年第4期,89-109。
7.王紹儀,農村財政與金融,中國
農業出版社,2002。
8.徐忠和鄒傳偉,區塊鏈能做什么、不能做什么?,中國人民銀行工作論文,2018年第4期。
9. 翟晨曦等,區塊鏈在我國證券市場的應用與監管研究,金融監管研究,2018年第7期,33-54。
10.Akerlof, G., The Market for “Lemons”: Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1970, 84 (3), 488–500.
11.Baker, M. and J. Wurgler, Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2007,21(2), 129-151.
12.Bernanke, B., and M. Gertler, Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations, American Economic Review, 1989(79), 14-31.
13.Borio, C., The Financial Cycle and Macroeconomics: What Have We Learnt?, Journal of Banking and Finance, 2014(45), 182-198.
14.Fisher, I., Booms and Depressions: Some First Principles, New York: Adelphi Company,1932.
15.Galbraith, J., Inequality and Instability: A Study of the World Economy Just Before the Great Crisis, Oxford University Press, 2012.
16.Geanakoplos, J., The Leverage Cycle, University of Chicago Press, April 2010.
17.Goodhart, C., D. Tsomocos and A. Vardoulakis, Modeling A Housing and Mortgage Crisis, Central Bank of Chile Working Paper, No. 547, 2010.
18.Holmstrom, B., Understanding the Role of Debt in the Financial System, BIS Working Paper, 2014.
19.Kahneman, D., and A. Tversky, Choices values and Frames, American Psychologist, 1984, 39, 341-350.
20.Kumhof, M., Lebarz, C., Ranciere, R.; Richter, A. W. and Throckmorton, N. A., Income Inequality and Current Account Imbalances, IMF Working Papers (12/08), International Monetary Fund, 2012.
21.Kumhof, M., Ranciere, R., Inequality, Leverage and Crises, IMF Working Papers, NO.268, 2010, International Monetary Fund.
22.Leland, H., and D. Pyle, Informational Asymmetries, Financial Structure, and Financial Intermediation, The Journal of Finance, 1977, 32(2), 371-387.
23.Merton, R., A Functional Perspective of Financial Intermediation, Financial Management, 1995, 24(2), 23-41.
24.Minsky, H., Debt-defation Processes in Today's Institutional Environment, PSL Quarterly Review, 1982, 35(143), 375-393.
25.Minsky, H., The Financial Instability Hypothesis, The Jerome Levy Economics Institute Working Paper, 1992, No. 74.
26.Oskamp, S., Overconfidence in Case-study Judgments, Journal of Consulting Psychology, 1965, 29,261-265
27.?sterholm, P., and H. Berger, Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out of-Sample Forecast Using Baysian VARs, IMF Working Paper, March 1, 2008, NO.08/53.
28.Palley, T., From Financial Crisis To Stagnation: The Destruction of Shared Pros-perity and the Role of Economics, Cambridge University Press, 2012.
29.Rajan, R., Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy, Princeton University Press, 2010.
30.Reich, R., Aftershock: The Next Economy and America's Future, Knopf, 2010.
31.Roffia, B., and A. Zaghini, Excess Money Growth and High Inflation Dynamics, International Finance, 2007, Vol.10, 241-280.
32.SatoshiNakamoto, Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System, 2008.
33.Shiller, R., The Use of Volatility Measures in Assessing Market Efficiency, Journal of Finance,36(2), 291-304,1981.
34.Shiller, R.J. and P. Perron, Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis: Power vs. Frequency of Observation, Economics Letters, 1985, 18, 381-386.
35.Stiglitz, J., The Contributions of the Economics of Information to the 20th Century Economics, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2000, 115(4), 1441-1478.
36.Summers, L.H., Does the Stock Market Rationally Reflect Fundamental Values?, Journal of Finance, 1986, 41(3), 591-601.
37.Thaler, R., Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice, Marketing Science, 1985, 4, 199-214.
38.Tobin, J., Keynesian Models of Recession and Depression, The American Economic Review, 1975, 65(2),195-202.
39.Tversky, A., and D. Kahneman, Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Science, 1974,185, 1124-1131.
版權申明:本內容來自于互聯網,屬第三方匯集推薦平臺。本文的版權歸原作者所有,文章言論不代表鏈門戶的觀點,鏈門戶不承擔任何法律責任。如有侵權請聯系QQ:3341927519進行反饋。